Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuit de Lumieres Grenache Noir Reserve Pays d'Oc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Pull Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Luna Di Luna Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Rocca delle Macie Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 15.8% | ▲ 29.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Substance Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kendall Jackson Pinot Noir Grand Reserve red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 49% premium | 2% |
| Bieler Family Born to Run Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Wild Vines Blackberry Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 44% below | 2% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Sangria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Villa Antinori Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▼ 4.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | ▲ 37.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cavit Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cavit Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | ▲ 9.1% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Holiday Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Starr Hill Vineyard and Winery Bailey Road Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33% below | 2% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $190 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Knotty Vines Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 17.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mezzacorona DiNotte Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 56.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| The Web Pinot Noir Pays d'Oc 2025 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barrelaia Prima Collezione Orvieto Classico 2025 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $146 $150 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 2% |
| Ballard Road Pinot Noir Oregon red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 3% below | 2% |
| Calera Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Potensac Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 $42.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Tenuta Argentiera Poggio ai Ginepri Bolgheri Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | ▲ 8.7% | — | 82% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% below | 2% |
| Knock Knock Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.97 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% below | 2% |
| Ava Grace Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Larcis Ducasse Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | 170% premium | 2% |
| Bar Dog Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chloe Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.53 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Storypoint Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Blackstone Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $9.49 Sale | ▲ 5.6% | ▼ 20.9% | 29% below | 2% |
| Cavaliere d'Oro Gabbiano Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 14.0% | ▲ 44.5% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Dry Creek Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 $31.19 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| King Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.43 $31.19 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Benziger Family Winery Pinot Noir Monterey red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $180 | — | — | 100% premium | 2% |
| Santa Ema El Cruce Select Terroir Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2024 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Doisy Daene Barsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $33.99 $39.99 Sale | ▲ 14.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau du Grand Soussans Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cora Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2024 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot on Tap Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Beso Del Sol Red Sangria red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.24 $4.49 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 49% below | 2% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $67.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
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