Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hentley Farm Shiraz Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Decadent Red Black Forest red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seven Hills Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Armillary Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $98.99 $165 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $510 $850 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Musar Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Devil?s Corner Chardonnay Tasmania 2022 white · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling GG Alte Reben 2022 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Famille Richel La Combelle Apremont Savoie Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gen 5 Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Kiona Old Vine Chenin Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Re di More Aglianico 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solomon Hills Estate Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley SBC 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vega Sicilia Alion 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $86.99 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe Family Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boutinot Les Coteaux Schisteaux Seguret Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| City Limits The Citizen Red Wine 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $100 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Highflyer Centerline Red Lodi 2022 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | — | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Lustau Don Nuno Oloroso Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Manos Negras Red Soil Pinot Noir El Cepillo Uco Valley 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| San Polo Rubio Rosso Toscana 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa a Sesta Il Palei Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Italian Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barista Pinotage red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 21.8% | ▲ 26.7% | 24% premium | 1% |
| Chateau de La Dauphine Fronsac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| District 7 Pinot Noir Monterey 2020 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firesteed Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.61 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.6% | 24% premium | 1% |
| Korbel Sweet Rose California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Luberri Biga Rioja Crianza 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wither Hills Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 24% premium | 1% |
| Di Giovanna V5 Vasca Cinque Rosato di Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2023 rosé · Sicily · 3000 ml | $31.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Montcy Cabriole Cheverny Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Bruyeres Gamay Moulin a Vent Cru Beaujolais 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Foolhardy Vintners Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gaston Chiquet Tradition Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $130 | — | — | 24% premium | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Pra Morandina Amarone della Valpolicella 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reggio Cantina Campo Melograno Aglianico del Vulture Superiore Riserva 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Vintage Champagne Brut Rose 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2021 red · 750 ml | $46.43 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello Di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $56.99 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barton and Guestier Rose d'Anjou rosé · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 12.2% | ▲ 16.7% | 24% premium | 2% |
| Dry Creek Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 $31.19 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Trefethen Riesling 2023 white · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Vista Atemporal Red Blend Mendoza Albaneve 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.23 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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