Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavis Pinot Grigio Trentino white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 5% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Layer Cake Shiraz South Australia 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 53% below | 7% typically +13% if it rises |
| Chocovine Coconut and White Chocolate white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cricket Farms Brut Rose Sparkling Wine Lake County sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Emilio Nessun Dorma Lambrusco di Modena sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| EG by Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Hikari Red Plum Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Vint by Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Brut California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cole Cellars Sauvignon Blanc California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| First Pick Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Il Casato Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Korbel Brut California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 5.1% | ▲ 16.7% | 63% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| LaLuca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Taylor Dry Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | 34% below | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Louis Courtier Cremant de Bordeaux Brut sparkling · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Harken Chardonnay Barrel Fermented white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.63 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 33.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Schramsberg Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cockburn's Port Special Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Amboscato Sweet White Italy white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Aravail Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Astica Chardonnay Argentina white · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cole Cellars Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | — | 11% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cook's Brut Grand Reserve sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | ▲ 29.1% | ▲ 33.4% | 48% below | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Cora Pinot Grigio Colline Pescaresi white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Kalyana Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Matteo Braidot Pinot Grigio Friuli white · Friuli · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Sonoma Vineyards Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | 49% below | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | ▲ 20.0% | 46% below | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Lush Pinot Noir red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cecchi Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Seaswept White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cascina San Lorenzo Barbera d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Golden Gate Cellars Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Il Casato Sauvignon Blanc Italy white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Kiwi Gold Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Wellsley Farms Pinot Grigio Della Venezia DOC white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Parini Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Chardonnay 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Banfi Centine Pinot Grigio Toscana white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Frisk Prickly Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $210 $240 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 116% premium | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
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