Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penfolds Bin 28 Kalimna Shiraz South Australia 2018 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schramsberg Brut Rose Methode Traditionnelle North Coast 2020 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Venge Vineyards Scouts Honor Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warres Vintage Port 2016 dessert · Douro · 375 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biale Vineyards Zinfandel Black Chicken Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bruna Grimaldi Barolo Camilla 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley Reserve 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Andersen Vally 2022 red · 750 ml | $33.03 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Lagune Haut Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 121% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Latour Giraud Cuvee Charles Maxime Meursault 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Chardonnay Bourgogne 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Santa Duc Aux Lieux Dits Gigondas 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Schoffit Gewurztraminer Harth Cuvee Caroline 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Thomas Tradition Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ellena Giuseppe Barolo Ascheri 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giacomo Fenocchio Barolo Bussia 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Pinot Noir Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rouge 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Foillard Morgon Cote du Py 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Saint Romain Villages Blanc 2019 white · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques De Riscal Rioja Gran Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Palermo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Fleurie Poncie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $19.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.23 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Elu Red Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Struie 2022 red · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vietti Castiglione Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgogno Dolcetto d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Charles Joguet Cuvee Terroir Chinon 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscaut Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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