Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Force Majeure Syrah Red Mountain Estate Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Shiraz 2020
red · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Winemaker Series Lot 2 Cabernet Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$42.03 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Villa San Juliette Chorum Red Wine Paso Robles 2017
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodega Malma Correntoso Malbec Patagonia 2024
red · 750 ml
$10.99——Fairly priced1%
Fabrice Larochette La Grande Bruyere Macon Fuisse 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$8.53 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Southern Gothic Collection Poor Boy Calatayud 2020
red · 750 ml
$6.93 $20.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$80.99 $135 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Vincens Origine Malbec Cahors 2022
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lunadoro Pagliareto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$9.03 $17.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Matarromera Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero Crianza 2018
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$11.13 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sunwine Tsinandali Georgia 2018
red · 750 ml
$3.73 $13.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Rosso dei Dardi Vino Rosso Italia 2020
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Havens Black and Blue Red Blend 2021
red · 750 ml
$8.39 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vina Seculo Godello Castilla y Leon 2021
red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fleur de Roc Saint Emilion 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.53 $22.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Beaulieu Vineyard Rutherford Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$45.03 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cave de Tain Le Bonheur Syrah Collines Rhodaniennes
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$86.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Alexander Valley Vineyards Zinfandel Alexander Valley Sonoma County 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$14.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$18.93 $60.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$59.99 $99.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vina Seculo Godello Castilla y Leon 2022
red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lindeman's Bin 45 Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.99▼ 4.1% 0.0%Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Marques de Riscal Arienzo Rioja Crianza 2018
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fontanabianca Barbaresco 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sea Slopes Pinot Noir Fort Ross Sonoma Coast 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Blason d'Issan Margaux 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$47.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$56.99 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$41.93 $140 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Les Escondudes Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$23.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
El Galayo Garnacha Cebreros 2023
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Franc Couplet Bordeaux Superieur 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$7.19 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cakebread Family Bezel Pinot Noir 2024
red · 750 ml
$26.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Mazeyres Pomerol 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Wild Fighter Pinot Noir Russian River Valley Family Estate 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cribari Cellars Chianti
red · Tuscany · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 0.0%▲ 30.8%Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
Fullerton Five FACES Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$14.03 $27.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Matthews Winery Blackboard Red Wine Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vina Diezmo CR Crianza Rioja 2019
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$10.99——Fairly priced<1%
Duplin Hatteras Red Sweet Muscadine
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 0.0%▲ 12.5%Fairly priced4%
One Stone Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$14.13 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Familia Chavarri Larchago Reserva Rioja 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
North by Northwest Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2016
red · Washington · 750 ml
$4.73 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$65.03 $130 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Renato Ratti Marcenasco Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$160 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Quinta do Crasto Douro Superior 2016
red · Douro · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
801–850 of 5,705← PreviousNext →