Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Force Majeure Syrah Red Mountain Estate Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Shiraz 2020 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Winemaker Series Lot 2 Cabernet Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa San Juliette Chorum Red Wine Paso Robles 2017 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Malma Correntoso Malbec Patagonia 2024 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fabrice Larochette La Grande Bruyere Macon Fuisse 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Gothic Collection Poor Boy Calatayud 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.99 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Vincens Origine Malbec Cahors 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lunadoro Pagliareto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matarromera Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero Crianza 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Tsinandali Georgia 2018 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Rosso dei Dardi Vino Rosso Italia 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Havens Black and Blue Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Seculo Godello Castilla y Leon 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fleur de Roc Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.53 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Rutherford Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $45.03 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave de Tain Le Bonheur Syrah Collines Rhodaniennes red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Zinfandel Alexander Valley Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $18.93 $60.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Seculo Godello Castilla y Leon 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 45 Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | ▼ 4.1% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Marques de Riscal Arienzo Rioja Crianza 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanabianca Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Slopes Pinot Noir Fort Ross Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Escondudes Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Galayo Garnacha Cebreros 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Franc Couplet Bordeaux Superieur 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Family Bezel Pinot Noir 2024 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Mazeyres Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Wild Fighter Pinot Noir Russian River Valley Family Estate 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cribari Cellars Chianti red · Tuscany · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Fullerton Five FACES Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matthews Winery Blackboard Red Wine Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Diezmo CR Crianza Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duplin Hatteras Red Sweet Muscadine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| One Stone Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.13 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Familia Chavarri Larchago Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| North by Northwest Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta do Crasto Douro Superior 2016 red · Douro · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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