Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLille Cellars D2 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.03 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Due Arbie Chianti Classico Riserva 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masseria Li Veli Orion Primitivo Salento 2022 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $9.13 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rossidi Oenophile Red Blend Bulgaria 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zazou Corbieres Love Over Money Red Blend red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2023 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cru Winery Sierra Madre Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Keenan Cabernet Sauvignon Spring Mountain District Napa Valley Reserve 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Miraja Le Masche Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lete Vautrain Rose Royal Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Murphy Goode Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tropical Passion Fruit Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| White Dot Moschofilero Malagousia Peloponnese 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cote Mas Cremant de Limoux Rose sparkling · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine Saint Damien Selection Vacqueyras 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Panisse Le Mas Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $49.99 $56.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hess Collection Mount Veeder Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Grown 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $63.63 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Monmousseau Cuvee Ciselee Brut Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Font Mars Picpoul de Pinet 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | <1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | ▲ 36.4% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Post and Beam Chardonnay Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Twomey Cellars Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $480 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $275 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lustau Peninsula Palo Cortado Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Moselland Riesling Rheinhessen Cat Bottle in Assorted Colors white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Noble Vines 337 Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| A to Z Wineworks Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Casas del Bosque Gran Reserva Carmenere Valle de Cachapoal 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | <1% |
| Chappellet Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners Cattle King Syrah Snipes Mountain Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Heritiers Les Folatieres Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru Blanc 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignoble Dubreuil Silice Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Viranel Intuition Saint Chinian Rouge 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Chianti Classico Petrignano 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Montchovet Longbois Beaune Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Tempier Bandol Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| MacRostie Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.23 $30.99 Clearance | ▼ 0.6% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Pedro Ximenez 15 Year Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aperture Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Katxina Txakolina 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $94.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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