Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ontanon Rioja Crianza 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $63.03 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Stoller Winery Estate Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Regaleali Lamuri Nero d'Avola 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Sparkling Infusions Sweet Peach sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $76.53 $266 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grey Stack Cellars Grenache Four Brothers Vineyard Bennett Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gunbun Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kaiken Estate Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Koyle Flor de Laberinto Rose Grenache Colchagua Andres 2022 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| LEcole No 41 Syrah Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.39 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Susana Balbo Signature Malbec Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Victor Berard Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2024 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aveleda Solos de Granito Alvarinho Vinho Verde 2020 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bartenura Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chereau Carre Comte Leloup du Chateau de Chasseloir Cuvee des Ceps Centenaires Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2018 white · Loire · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Earthquake Zinfandel Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Croix Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $81.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ruinart Blanc de Blancs Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Brooks Winery Riesling Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cafe de Paris Blanc de Blanc Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.43 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cristom Vineyards Chardonnay Eola Amity Hills 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Erbeldinger Riesling Rheinhessen 2020 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frey Organic Zinfandel Mendocino California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Sauvignon Blanc Willamette Valley 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nissley Grapeful Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Novellum Chardonnay Vin de France 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | 1% |
| Shafer Relentless Syrah Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.43 $96.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas CARO Aruma Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Vina Lanciano Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castellare Chianti Classico 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Sansonnet St Emilion 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudveil Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Watermelon Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Viranel Viognier Pays d'Herault 2020 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Douloufakis Femina Malvasia 2024 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Drappier Rose de Saignee Brut Rose Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Rocailles Savoie Rose 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend North Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Legit Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.83 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Pointe Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Christopher Michael Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Painted Wolf The Den Pinotage Coastal Region 2021 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beckstone Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cooper and Thief Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Dark Horse Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Perraud Macon Villages 2024 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | 19% premium | 1% |
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