Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergstrom Wines Pinot Noir Cumberland Reserve Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Bual Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| L'Esprit de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rutherford Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.83 $49.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marie Weiss Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.03 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mollydooker Miss Molly Sparkling Shiraz McLaren Vale 2019 sparkling · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sealionne Kilig Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Round Pond Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck the Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Chardonnay Eola Amity Hills 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Tour Blanche Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Begue Mathiot Chablis Vaucoupins 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loveblock Pinot Noir Central Otago 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Manzanos Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Ranch Reserve Chardonnay Carneros Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Berlucchi 61 Franciacorta Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Educated Guess Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Henri Goutorbe Cuvee Prestige Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +10% if it rises |
| Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 115 Pinot Noir Eola Amity HIlls 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selections Offerus Saint Joseph 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Platinum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Haut Peyraguey Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate Classique Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Le Crock Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Canary Hill Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars McCrone Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maynard's Colheita Port 2012 dessert · Douro · 500 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paraduxx Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Philippe Glavier La Grace d'Alphael Extra Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $61.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Silverado Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Miller Ranch Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bledsoe Family Winery Elizabeth Chardonnay Willamette Valley Oregon 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Chardonnay Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $28.53 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Demarie Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners Rockgarden Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Siduri Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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