Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quilt Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.43 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Darioush Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $146 $150 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 2% |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $132 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Rhythm Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atlas Peak Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Atlas Peak Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2007 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $53.93 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | ▲ 10.0% | — | 54% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mirafiore Barolo Lazzarito 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2020 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Trotte Vieille Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $130 | — | — | 56% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Clos Windsbuhl Pinot Gris Alsace 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | 56% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $155 | — | — | 57% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $600 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $400 | ▲ 14.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Lascombes Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $111 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rio Sordo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Doyard Revolution Non Dose Blanc de Blancs Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $138 $230 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Antinori Tignanello Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | 1% |
| Calera de Villiers Vineyards Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2020 red · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Banfi Poggio Alle Mura Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Figeac Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $162 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 1500 ml | $86.93 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $191 | — | — | 59% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $151 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $432 $640 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Pommard Les Rugiens 1er Cru 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $36.93 $128 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Duval Leroy Femme De Champagne Grand Cru Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Raymond Generations Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Brut MV4 Dundee Hills sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Fuligni Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $47.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Flora Springs Trilogy Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $250 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | 1% |
| Damilano Barolo Cannubi 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $30.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Arrowood Reserve Speciale Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2014 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $220 $340 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taittinger Prelude Champagne Brut Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Vieilles Vignes Cornas 2022 red · 750 ml | $94.99 | — | — | 62% premium | 1% |
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