Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Tania and Vincent Careme Terre Brulee Le Blanc Chenin Blanc Swartland 2021
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$7.43 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—19% below<1%
Treveri Cellars Blanc de Blanc Sparkling Yakima Valley Brut
sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.59 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 14.3%19% below1%
Domaine de Fabregues Chateau de Vissandre Languedoc 2018
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—19% below<1%
Franzia Moscato
white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.49 $4.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 11.1%19% below3%
Franzia Refreshers Strawberry Rose
rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.79 $15.59 Clearance 0.0%—19% below1%
Jas des Vignes Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2024
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—18% below<1%
Yellow Tail Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.64 $7.29 Clearance 0.0%▲ 4.3%18% below2%
Sartori Love Story Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 $11.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%18% below1%
Taub Family Vineyards Heritance Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2018
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$11.03 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—18% below<1%
Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—18% below<1%
Attems Pinot Grigio Ramato Rose Friuli 2024
rosé · Friuli · 750 ml
$11.99——17% below1%
Black Box Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $5.99 Sale 0.0% 0.0%17% below7%
typically +12% if it rises
Cellier des Chartreux Chevalier d'Anthelme Cotes du Rhone Rose 2021
rosé · Rhone · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—17% below<1%
Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—17% below<1%
Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—17% below<1%
Mapreco Rose Vinho Verde
rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.79 0.0%—17% below8%
typically +10% if it rises
Sutter Home Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.49 $8.49 Sale 0.0%▲ 6.3%17% below4%
Cantina della Pioppa Lambrusco di Modena Biologico
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%—17% below7%
typically +10% if it rises
Cousino Macul Antiguas Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley Reservas Estate 2018
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—17% below<1%
Dievole Le Due Arbie Chianti Superiore 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—17% below<1%
Fish Eye Merlot
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.49 $12.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%17% below1%
Tiny Pink Bubbles Prosecco Rose Extra Dry 2020
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml
$8.99 0.0%—17% below1%
Creative Juice Chardonnay
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.03 $7.29 Clearance 0.0%—17% below2%
Kanonkop Kadette Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2020
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$8.23 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—17% below<1%
Montetoro Tinta De Toro Toro Joven 2021
red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$2.93 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—16% below<1%
Nino Franco Rustico Valdobbiadene Prosecco Superiore
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0% 0.0%16% below4%
Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2019
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—16% below<1%
Domaine des Buissonnes Cuvee Pierre a Feu Silex Sancerre Blanc 2020
white · Loire · 750 ml
$12.53 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—16% below<1%
Domaines Paul Mas Vignes de Nicole Rose Pays d'Oc 2024
rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—16% below<1%
Lamoreaux Landing Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2018
white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml
$8.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—16% below<1%
Franzia Refreshers Tropical Pinot Grigio
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.83 $15.59 Clearance 0.0%—16% below1%
High Heaven Vintners Riesling Starshower Columbia Valley
white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—16% below1%
Winzer Krems Sandgrube 13 Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2021
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—16% below<1%
J Wilkes Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley 2020
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—16% below<1%
Roaming Dog Riesling Columbia Valley 2020
white · Washington · 750 ml
$2.93 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—16% below<1%
Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2018
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0% 0.0%16% below<1%
Benoit Gautier Argilex Vouvray 2022
red · Loire · 750 ml
$5.63 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—16% below<1%
Chateau Talmont Bordeaux Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$5.53 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—16% below<1%
Sutter Home Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.49 $8.49 Sale 0.0%▲ 6.3%16% below5%
typically +11% if it rises
Domaine Gerard Tremblay Petit Chablis 2019
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—15% below<1%
Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Chardonnay Colchagua Valley Estate 2021
white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—15% below<1%
Wellsley Farms Red Blend California
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%—15% below6%
typically +10% if it rises
Juggernaut Chardonnay Sonoma Coast
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.99 0.0%—15% below10%
typically +6% if it rises
Trail Box Pinot Grigio California
white · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.79 $15.59 Clearance 0.0%—15% below1%
Gallo Livingston Cellars Merlot
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.33 $16.59 Clearance 0.0%▲ 10.7%15% below1%
Zuccardi Serie A Malbec Valle de Uco 2020
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—15% below<1%
The Little Sheep of France Viognier Vin de France 2023
white · 750 ml
$6.03 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—15% below<1%
Santa Carolina Carmenere Cachapoal Valley Reserva 2022
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$14.99——15% below1%
Lomond Sauvignon Blanc Cape Agulhas 2021
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—15% below<1%
La Crema Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast
red · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale▲ 2.7%▲ 25.0%14% below5%
651–700 of 6,416← PreviousNext →