Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tania and Vincent Careme Terre Brulee Le Blanc Chenin Blanc Swartland 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Treveri Cellars Blanc de Blanc Sparkling Yakima Valley Brut sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 19% below | 1% |
| Domaine de Fabregues Chateau de Vissandre Languedoc 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.49 $4.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 19% below | 3% |
| Franzia Refreshers Strawberry Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 1% |
| Jas des Vignes Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% below | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.64 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 18% below | 2% |
| Sartori Love Story Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18% below | 1% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Heritance Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% below | <1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% below | <1% |
| Attems Pinot Grigio Ramato Rose Friuli 2024 rosé · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | 17% below | 1% |
| Black Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17% below | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Cellier des Chartreux Chevalier d'Anthelme Cotes du Rhone Rose 2021 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Mapreco Rose Vinho Verde rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 17% below | 4% |
| Cantina della Pioppa Lambrusco di Modena Biologico sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cousino Macul Antiguas Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley Reservas Estate 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Dievole Le Due Arbie Chianti Superiore 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Fish Eye Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17% below | 1% |
| Tiny Pink Bubbles Prosecco Rose Extra Dry 2020 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 1% |
| Creative Juice Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.03 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 2% |
| Kanonkop Kadette Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Montetoro Tinta De Toro Toro Joven 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Nino Franco Rustico Valdobbiadene Prosecco Superiore sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16% below | 4% |
| Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Domaine des Buissonnes Cuvee Pierre a Feu Silex Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Domaines Paul Mas Vignes de Nicole Rose Pays d'Oc 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Lamoreaux Landing Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2018 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Franzia Refreshers Tropical Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.83 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | 1% |
| High Heaven Vintners Riesling Starshower Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | 1% |
| Winzer Krems Sandgrube 13 Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| J Wilkes Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Roaming Dog Riesling Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2018 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16% below | <1% |
| Benoit Gautier Argilex Vouvray 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Chateau Talmont Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.53 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Sutter Home Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 16% below | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Petit Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Chardonnay Colchagua Valley Estate 2021 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| Wellsley Farms Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Juggernaut Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Trail Box Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% below | 1% |
| Gallo Livingston Cellars Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | 15% below | 1% |
| Zuccardi Serie A Malbec Valle de Uco 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| The Little Sheep of France Viognier Vin de France 2023 white · 750 ml | $6.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Carmenere Cachapoal Valley Reserva 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 15% below | 1% |
| Lomond Sauvignon Blanc Cape Agulhas 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 25.0% | 14% below | 5% |
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