Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Rose Central Coast 2021 rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lapis Luna Chardonnay 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nicodemi Terrana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2022 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pratsch Gruner Veltliner Weinviertel DAC 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Sauvignon Blanc 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Dreaming Tree Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Web Pinot Noir Pays d'Oc 2025 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bella Sera Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Georges Duboeuf Beaujolais Villages red · Beaujolais · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkasteler Lay Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $31.53 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.19 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +12% if it rises |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa La Vie En Rose Negrette Vin de France Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 $10.99 Sale | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Menage a Trois Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pfeffingen Dry Riesling Pfalz 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planet Oregon Pinot Noir Rose Bubbles 2022 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ram's Gate Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Saperavi Semi Sweet Kindzmarauli Georgia Red Wine 2023 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Syrah Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Sparina Gavi del Comune di Gavi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyle Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Reserve red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $40.99 | ▼ 12.4% | ▼ 8.9% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barnard Griffin Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borsao Cabriola Red Campo de Borja 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Butternut Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▼ 5.6% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Collection Alain Corcia Pinot Noir Bourgogne Reserve Grande Classe Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Malbec Tupungato Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fogscape Vineyards Chardonnay Arroyo Seco Monterey 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freixenet Ice Cuvee Rose Catalunya rosé · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gouguenheim Malbec Mendoza Reserva 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Laroque Chardonnay Cite de Carcassonne 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Fontanelles Pinot Noir Vin de Pays d'Oc Rouge 2022 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | <1% |
| Pacific Rim Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Prophecy Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Brut California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Toasted Head Chardonnay Barrel Aged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 8% premium | 1% |
| Wellsley Farms Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cavit Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Charles Krug Family Reserve Generations Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dark Horse Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Le Vaucrain Cote de Nuits Villages Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hex Vom Dasenstein Pinot Noir Baden 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jose Antonio Garcia Unculin Mencia Bierzo 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loveblock Pinot Noir Central Otago 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schild Estate GMS Red Blend Barossa Valley 2018 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats South Africa Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 20.6% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vietti Tre Vigne Barbera d'Asti 2019 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carski Emporia Zilavka Mostar 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corte Giacobbe Soave 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fond Croze Shyrus Cotes du Rhone Villages Vaison la Romaine 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | <1% |
6,451–6,500 of 9,968← PreviousNext →