Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conti Torraiolo Trebbiano Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.43 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Charles Smith Kung Fu Girl Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 36% below | 4% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 22% below | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 4% premium | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 3% premium | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Super Crisp Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Jacob's Creek Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 4% |
| Villa Maria Private Bin Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Schmitt Sohne Riesling Crisp and Fruity white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.49 | ▲ 2.3% | ▲ 7.1% | 21% premium | 4% |
| Hahn Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▼ 11.1% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Elmo Pio Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 4.8% | ▲ 15.8% | 36% premium | 4% |
| Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 4.8% | ▲ 5.3% | 40% premium | 4% |
| Martin Codax Albarino white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | 27% premium | 4% |
| Almaden Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Josh Cellars Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Big House Wine Co Birdman Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Famiglie Pinot Grigio Veneto white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Loveblock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Rodney Strong Chardonnay Chalk Hill white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bogle Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Matua Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Clean Slate Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Franzia Crisp White white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 47% below | 3% |
| Franzia Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 3% |
| Bota Mini Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Oyster Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 11.8% | 14% premium | 3% |
| Cloudy Bay Chardonnay Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Giesen Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $15.99 | ▲ 23.1% | — | 31% premium | 3% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Pinot Grigio Emerald Label white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.99 | — | — | 41% premium | 3% |
| Little Sheep of France Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 3% |
| Natura Organic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Natura Organic Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.49 $4.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 19% below | 3% |
| Voga Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Clos du Bois Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | ▼ 3.7% | 0.0% | 53% premium | 3% |
| Lindeman's Bin 65 Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 3.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Mezzacorona Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Sun Soaked Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $5.19 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Pacific Rim Sweet Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 5% premium | 3% |
| Gnarly Head Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Noble Vines 242 Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Noble Vines 446 Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
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