Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penfolds Bin 389 Cabernet Sauvignon Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $350 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino Pomona 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 84% premium | <1% |
| Department 66 D66 Grenache Maury IGP Cotes Catalans 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 84% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta Argentiera Villa Donoratico Bolgheri Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Wahi Pinot Noir Central Otago 2021 red · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | 86% premium | 1% |
| Marques de Caceres MC Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | 86% premium | 1% |
| Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Wahi Pinot Noir Central Otago 2019 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 86% premium | <1% |
| Castello di Neive Bartbaresco Albesani Santo Stefano 2019 red · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo Ornato 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $146 | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | 1% |
| St Francis Reserve Merlot Sonoma Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Bodega Benegas Single Vineyard Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | 1% |
| Ashbourne Pinotage Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Corton Charlemagne Grand Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $250 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | 1% |
| Casanova di Neri Tenuta Nuova Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $91.79 $153 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Foillard Fleurie 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 29 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $83.73 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Warwick Professor Black Pitch Black Red Blend Stellenbosch 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | 1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Trefethen Merlot 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,350 | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hawk and Horse Cabernet Sauvignon Red Hills Lake County 2016 red · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Bob's Ranch Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $47.53 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Rudolph's Red Cabernet Sauvignon Stocking red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 90% premium | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Michel Sarrazin Maranges Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Paso d'Oro Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| AR Pepe Valtellina Superiore Grumello Rocca de Piro 2017 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Homenagem Tejo Reserva 2015 red · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $105 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Lot C 91 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $97.99 | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Chateau des Jacques Clos de Rochegres Moulin a Vent 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $48.93 $155 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cline Family Cellars Rock Carved Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Origine Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| McBride Sisters Black Girl Magic Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▼ 10.7% | 0.0% | 92% premium | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Two Hands Ares Shiraz Barossa Valley 2018 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Clunia Tempranillo Castilla y Leon 2016 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | — | — | 93% premium | 3% |
| Avennia Gravura Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 93% premium | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bernardus Marinus Red Carmel Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $107 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Long Shadows Pirouette Red Wine Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | <1% |
| Fattoria le Pupile Poggio Valente Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lisini Ugolaia Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gia Coppola Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | 1% |
5,351–5,400 of 5,705← PreviousNext →