Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pagodes de Cos Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $82.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| PlumpJack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $115 $192 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serego Alighieri Vaio Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2013 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Double Diamond Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot Three Palms Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $65.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.93 $117 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Chandon de Briailles Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru Ile de Vergelesses 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Chapelle Chambertin Gevrey Chambertin Grand Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Rene Leclerc Gevrey Chambertin Combes Aux Moines 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $52.03 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.73 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $500 $900 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello Banfi Brunello di Montalcino red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $78.49 | ▲ 0.6% | ▲ 7.5% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $95.93 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force Majeure Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain Estate Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Leclerc Briant Extra Brut Champagne 2019 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $92.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +14% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Boudots Nuits Saint Georges 1er Cru Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.93 $142 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $87.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dom Perignon Brut Rose Champagne 2009 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $480 | — | — | 31% premium | 4% |
| Louis Roederer Cristal Brut Champagne Deluxe Gift Box 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $350 $400 Sale | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 4% |
| Beaux Freres Belles Soeurs Pinot Noir Ribon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $59.73 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de Beaucastel Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $95.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Genevrieres 1er Cru Meursault 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Champagne Louis Roederer Cristal Brut Champagne Deluxe Gift Box 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $240 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $90.03 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Gaps Crown Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $48.93 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,000 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Parent Les Chanlins Pommard 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Bougros Grand Cru 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot Three Palms Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Elu Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.93 $87.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Boudots Nuits Saint Georges 1er Cru 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $65.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $200 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roederer Estate L'Ermitage Brut 2019 sparkling · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau de Beaucastel Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Vieilles Vignes Cornas 2018 red · 750 ml | $63.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beauregard Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $115 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.73 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
501–550 of 1,027← PreviousNext →