Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Frescobaldi Remole Toscana Rosso 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—56% below<1%
Ruta 22 Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Uco Valley 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$6.99——56% below4%
Two Hands Angels Share Shiraz McLaren Vale 2022
red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—56% below<1%
Layer Cake Cabernet Sauvignon 2022
red · 750 ml
$6.99——56% below9%
typically +13% if it rises
MD 20 20 Banana Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.19 0.0%▲ 24.0%56% below6%
typically +12% if it rises
Tamarack Cellars River Crossing Cabernet Sauvignon Barrel Reserve Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—55% below1%
Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—55% below<1%
Cune Rioja Gran Reserva 2018
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—55% below<1%
Spring Valley Vineyard Frederick Red Wine Walla Walla Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$27.99——55% below1%
Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$84.99 0.0%—55% below<1%
Frescobaldi Remole Toscana Rosso
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $9.99 Sale 0.0%—55% below7%
typically +10% if it rises
Lorinon Rioja Reserva 2015
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—55% below<1%
Conte Lorenzo Sormani Barolo 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—55% below<1%
Berceo Seleccion Graciano Rioja 2020
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$8.99 0.0%—55% below<1%
Oak Leaf Vineyards Shiraz
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.09 0.0%—55% below11%
typically +4% if it rises
Arterberry Maresh Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$14.03 $27.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%55% below<1%
Chateau Noaillac Medoc 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$10.43 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—54% below<1%
Ridolfi Brunello di Montalcino 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—54% below<1%
Louis Jadot Bourgogne Gamay 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—54% below1%
Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$42.03 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—54% below1%
Chateau Yon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2016
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$26.99 0.0% 0.0%54% below1%
Beckon Pinot Noir Central Coast 2016
red · Central Coast · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—54% below<1%
Smith and Elliott Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.99——54% below1%
Substance Rb Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—54% below<1%
Wakefield Cabernet Sauvignon Clare Valley Estate 2019
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—54% below<1%
Two Hands Sexy Beast Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2022
red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—53% below<1%
Chateau Ducasse Graves Rouge 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—53% below1%
B Side Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast 2022
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.99——53% below1%
Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$35.73 $46.99 Clearance 0.0%—53% below<1%
Layer Cake Shiraz South Australia 2021
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$6.99——53% below7%
typically +13% if it rises
Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—53% below1%
Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—53% below<1%
San Vincente Chianti Riserva 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—53% below<1%
Stonehedge Grand Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.99——53% below<1%
Chateau Francs Magnus Bordeaux Superieur 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$6.53 $12.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%53% below<1%
Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$13.43 $45.99 Clearance 0.0%—52% below<1%
Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.33 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—52% below<1%
World's Edge Cabernet Sauvignon South Eastern Australia
red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.89 0.0%▲ 3.5%52% below5%
Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$50.99 0.0%—52% below2%
Carlo Rossi Burgundy
red · Burgundy · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.49 $8.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%51% below5%
Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Beaune Boucherottes 1er Cru Rouge 2019
red · 750 ml
$33.53 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—51% below<1%
Vite Colte Paesi Tuoi Barolo 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$20.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—51% below<1%
Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$51.99——51% below5%
typically +36% if it rises
El Pedal de Hermanos Hernaiz Rioja Alta 2021
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$7.13 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—51% below<1%
Pio Cesare Oltre Langhe Rosso 2014
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—50% below1%
Montes Alpha Syrah Colchagua Valley 2018
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$11.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%50% below<1%
Petra Zingari Toscana Rosso 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$7.19 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—50% below<1%
Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—50% below<1%
Chateau Siran Margaux 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.99 0.0%—50% below1%
St Hallett Faith Shiraz Barossa 2021
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$5.73 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—50% below<1%
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