Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cloudy Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Decoy Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Duckhorn Vineyard Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $56.99 | ▲ 3.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 48% premium | 4% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company The Prisoner Red California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |