Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Crimes Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Antinori Tignanello Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | 1% |
| Apothic Red Winemaker's Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Old Vine Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 $89.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,000 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Decoy Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Duckhorn Vineyard Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $24.99 Sale | ▼ 7.4% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Meiomi Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Opus One Red Wine Rutherford 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $455 | — | — | 76% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 95 Grange Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $850 | 0.0% | — | 450% premium | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Artemis Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $74.99 $79.99 Sale | ▼ 5.9% | ▲ 17.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $305 $310 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company The Prisoner Red California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |