Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $119 | 0.0% | — | 84% below | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Aile D'Argent Pauillac Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | 82% below | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Louis Chave Silene Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | 78% below | <1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2016 red · Tuscany · 1500 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 76% below | <1% |
| Chateau Tour du Pas Saint Georges Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | 76% below | 1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $127 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | 73% below | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% below | <1% |
| Barr Eden Estate Menglers Hill Dreams of Gold Shiraz Eden Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | 72% below | <1% |
| Two Hands Gnarly Dudes Shiraz Barossa Valley 2022 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 72% below | <1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 72% below | 1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 72% below | <1% |
| Chateau Clos Junet Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 71% below | 1% |
| Squealing Pig Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $7.99 | — | — | 70% below | 1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% below | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 68% below | 5% |
| Maynard's Late Bottle Vintage Porto 2017 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% below | <1% |
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 67% below | 1% |
| Clos de Napa Chardonnay Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 67% below | 1% |
| Le Pupille Poggio Valente Toscana Rosso 2014 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 66% below | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Pinot Noir Sonoma Stage Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 66% below | <1% |
| Bellacosa Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Grape District Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Chateau Tauzinat L'Hermitage Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.49 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Penfolds Shiraz Cabernet Sauvignon Koonunga Hill red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | 64% below | 1% |
| Boarding Pass Syrah Greece 2016 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 64% below | <1% |
| Chateau Pagnac Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 64% below | <1% |
| Chateau du Basque Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Paola Sordo Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Slates of Bonmont Priorat 2017 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Perrin and Dobbs Ace of Spades Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Antico Monastero Barbaresco 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Royal Oporto Late Bottle Vintage Porto 2016 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Black Stallion Los Carneros Chardonnay 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Mirafiore Barolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% below | 1% |
| Antica Hirpinia Anno Domini 1590 Legenda Taurasi 2015 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% below | 1% |
| Flora Springs Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| E Guigal Brune et Blonde Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $42.03 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Lua Cheia em Vinhas Velhas Douro Tinto 2019 red · Douro · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% below | 1% |
| Altesino Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% below | <1% |
| Champagne Palmer Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% below | 1% |
| Carpe Diem Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% below | <1% |
| Inglenook 1882 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% below | <1% |
| Tott's California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.36 $8.73 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% below | 2% |
| World's Edge Chardonnay South Eastern Australia white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.5% | 60% below | 4% |
| Marietta Cellars OVR Old Vine Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 60% below | 3% |
| Gearbox Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 60% below | 4% |
| Simonet Vin Mousseux Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.18 $10.36 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% below | 1% |
1–50 of 9,968Next →