Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenico Clerico Langhe Nebbiolo Capisme-e 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +37% if it rises |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +37% if it rises |
| Les Tetes Les Parcelles Tete Nat Orange Vin de France Sparkling 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | 51% below | 5% typically +36% if it rises |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Catena Alta Chardonnay Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 9.4% | — | 104% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cloudy Bay Chardonnay Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.99 | — | — | 41% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | ▲ 37.9% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $30.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 107% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 37% below | 3% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 44% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 $64.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 $64.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 39% below | 2% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $45.99 | ▲ 39.4% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Dow's Late Bottled Vintage Ruby Port 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Cubillo Crianza Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $32.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Saint Andre Corbin Saint Georges Saint Emilion 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Addendum by Fess Parker Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 2% |
| Addendum by Fess Parker Skellenger Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $57.99 | — | — | 47% below | 2% |
| Frank Cornelissen Munjebel Bianco Terre Siciliane 2022 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | 119% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Saintayme Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Lynch Moussas Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| La Spinetta Ca di Pian Barbera d'Asti 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | 46% premium | 2% |
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $56.99 | — | — | 94% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Potensac Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 $42.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Tenuta Argentiera Poggio ai Ginepri Bolgheri Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% below | 2% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $52.99 $56.99 Sale | ▲ 14.0% | — | 54% premium | 2% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Le Grand Chemarin Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | 41% premium | 2% |
| Loveblock Sparkling Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 sparkling · Marlborough · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 2% |
| Mollydooker Miss Molly Sparkling Shiraz Australia 2022 sparkling · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Doisy Daene Barsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $33.99 $39.99 Sale | ▲ 14.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau du Grand Soussans Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | 2% |
| Golan Heights Winery Katzrin Chardonnay Golan Heights Israel 2022 white · 750 ml | $36.99 | — | — | 92% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $67.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
1–50 of 2,215Next →