Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Gazin Rocquencourt Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Salvestrin Sauvignon Blanc St Helena Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Stags Leap Napa Valley Viognier 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montee de Tonnerre 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Smith Madrone Riesling Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2017 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Clos des Guettes Savigny Les Beaune 1er Cru Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $60.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Frank Family Vineyard Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 $39.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Karia Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $36.99 Sale | ▼ 7.5% | ▲ 5.7% | 25% below | 3% |
| Nickel and Nickel Chardonnay Truchard Vineyard Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.03 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Robert Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 375 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | 1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14% below | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains 1er Cru Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.13 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% below | <1% |
| Chateau Couhins Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| E Guigal Saint Joseph Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $36.99 $39.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pali Wine Co Chardonnay Huber Vineyard Santa Rita Hills 2015 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Kabinett 2022 white · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Chardonnay Hillview Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Gewurztraminer Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $35.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jordan Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Senechaux Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Senechaux Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes En Beauregard Cote de Nuits Villages Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Chardonnay Mendoza 2019 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles Willow Creek District 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de la Croix de Pierre Pernand Vergelesses Blanc 2020 white · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ribbon Ridge Winery RR Riesling Ribbon Ridge 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Storrs Winery Chardonnay Christie Vineyard Santa Cruz Mountain 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Block Sauvignon Blanc Yountville 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Chardonnay Sun Chase Vineyard Estate Grown Petaluma Gap 2020 white · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Pinot Gris Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $35.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Curveux Guillaume Pouilly Fuisse 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beauchene Vignobles Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cornerstone Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Farina Vineyard Sonoma Mountain Sonoma County 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Chardonnay 2018 white · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartford Court Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate White Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Blanc de Noir Willamette Valley 2017 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $36.99 $39.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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