Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Les Tetes Les Parcelles Tete Nat Orange Vin de France Sparkling 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +10% if it rises |
| La Spinetta Ca di Pian Barbera d'Asti 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | 46% premium | 2% |
| Loveblock Sparkling Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 sparkling · Marlborough · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 2% |
| Mollydooker Miss Molly Sparkling Shiraz Australia 2022 sparkling · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne 2013 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Weingut Lucashof Petillant Naturel Pfalz 2021 sparkling · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $11.33 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Maestro di Cava Bolgheri Superiore 2017 sparkling · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne Rose 2013 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Christophe Mittnacht Organic Terres d'etoiles Cuvee Extra Brut Cremant d'Alsace 2022 sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mollydooker Miss Molly Sparkling Shiraz McLaren Vale 2019 sparkling · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schlumberger Brut Rose Burgenland 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 1% |
| Raptor Ridge Estate Cuvee Sparkling Brut Rose 2019 sparkling · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aquilini Gia Bella Brut Rose Red Mountain 2020 sparkling · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schramsberg Brut Rose Methode Traditionnelle North Coast 2020 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lightpost Winery Jules De Brut Blanc De Blanc San Luis Obispo County 2018 sparkling · Central Coast · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lete Vautrain Brut Champagne Millesime 2014 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2017 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| King Estate Willamette Valley Brut Cuvee 2017 sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schlumberger Brut Classic Niederoesterreich 2017 sparkling · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pommery Grand Cru Royal Brut Champagne 2008 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $44.73 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |