Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $56.99 | ▲ 3.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |