Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tott's California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.36 $8.73 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% below | 2% |
| Unshackled Sparkling California 2018 sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | ▼ 58.4% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Decoy Brut Cuvee sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% below | 1% |
| Unshackled Sparkling Rose California 2018 sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | ▼ 58.4% | — | 52% below | <1% |
| Segura Viudas Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | 51% below | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Stanford Blanc de Blanc Governor's Cuvee Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.94 $9.88 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% below | 1% |
| Argyle Vintage Brut Willamette Valley 2016 sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% below | <1% |
| McBride Sisters Collection Sparkling Brut Rose Hawke's Bay sparkling · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | — | ▼ 60.0% | 49% below | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Cook's Brut Grand Reserve sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | ▲ 29.1% | ▲ 33.4% | 48% below | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Veuve Du Vernay Sparkling Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.36 $8.73 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% below | 2% |
| McBride Sisters Collection Black Girl Magic Sparkling Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | — | — | 45% below | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Aresca La Rossa Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2021 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Wycliff California Brut sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.54 $7.09 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Gekkeikan Zipang Sparkling sparkling · 250 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 43% below | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Verdi Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 43% below | 13% typically +12% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 30 Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40% below | 13% typically +22% if it rises |
| Mingle Cranberry Cosmo Sparkling Mocktail sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | 39% below | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Roger Goulart Cava Brut Gran Reserva 2015 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% below | 1% |
| Riunite Lambrusco sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 39% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Veuve Clicquot Champagne Demi Sec sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 39% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Albino Rocca Moscato d'Asti 2019 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Pommery POP Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| La Gioiosa Prosecco Rose 2021 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| La Gioiosa Prosecco Rose 2023 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Roger d'Anoia Brut Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 2% |
| Sun Goddess Prosecco Rose NV sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| A by Acacia Brut 2022 sparkling · 750 ml | $5.23 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Mumm Napa Brut Prestige sparkling · Napa Valley · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.49 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | 32% below | 4% |
| Sun Goddess Prosecco NV sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% below | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Anna de Codorniu Cava Brut Blanc de Blancs sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 31% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Moutard Champagne Brut Grand Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26% below | 1% |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25% below | 1% |
| Juve Y Camps Reserva de la Familia Cava Gran Reserva 2017 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 23% below | 1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | 23% below | 2% |
| Murviedro Arts de Luna Cava Brut Rose sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Gelida Blanc de Blancs Cava Brut Nature Gran Reserva 2018 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Treveri Cellars Blanc de Blanc Sparkling Yakima Valley Brut sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 19% below | 1% |
| Cantina della Pioppa Lambrusco di Modena Biologico sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Tiny Pink Bubbles Prosecco Rose Extra Dry 2020 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 1% |
| Nino Franco Rustico Valdobbiadene Prosecco Superiore sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16% below | 4% |
| Parini Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.09 | 0.0% | — | 14% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| LaLuca Prosecco Rose 2020 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 1% |
| Paul Cheneau Brut Cava Penedes sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13% below | 7% typically +19% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Brut sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 12% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Schlumberger Brut Rose Piccolo Burgenland 2019 sparkling · 187 ml | $3.73 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 1% |
| I Castelli Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10% below | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine Bousquet Sparkling Tupungato Valley Brut sparkling · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 8% below | 2% |
| Jaume Serra Cristalino Cava Brut Rose sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7% below | 28% typically +23% if it rises |
| Mazarini Prosecco DOC Italy sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | 5% below | 15% typically +9% if it rises |
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