Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bread and Butter Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Maurice Schoeh Cotes d'Ammerschwihr Alsace Blanc 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Earthquake Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Gewurztraminer Sonoma County 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Merlot Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stella Rosa Sparkling Cranberry sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 5.9% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| 13 Celsius Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cavit Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Earthquake Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | <1% |
| Franzia White Zinfandel rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| R Wines Southern Belle Red Blend Jumilla 2021 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Chardonnay Upper Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Babich Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough Estate 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | 4% |
| Charles Smith Bubbled Kung Fu Girl Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Columbia Crest Grand Estates Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cora Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2024 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Elmo Pio Sparkling We Are ZeRO Nonalcoholic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Fiuza Premium Alicante Bouschet Reserva Tejo 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Rose Central Coast 2021 rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lapis Luna Chardonnay 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nicodemi Terrana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2022 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pratsch Gruner Veltliner Weinviertel DAC 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Sauvignon Blanc 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Dreaming Tree Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Web Pinot Noir Pays d'Oc 2025 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bella Sera Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Georges Duboeuf Beaujolais Villages red · Beaujolais · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.19 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +12% if it rises |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa La Vie En Rose Negrette Vin de France Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 $10.99 Sale | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Menage a Trois Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pfeffingen Dry Riesling Pfalz 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planet Oregon Pinot Noir Rose Bubbles 2022 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Saperavi Semi Sweet Kindzmarauli Georgia Red Wine 2023 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa Sparina Gavi del Comune di Gavi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borsao Cabriola Red Campo de Borja 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Butternut Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▼ 5.6% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Collection Alain Corcia Pinot Noir Bourgogne Reserve Grande Classe Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Malbec Tupungato Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fogscape Vineyards Chardonnay Arroyo Seco Monterey 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freixenet Ice Cuvee Rose Catalunya rosé · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gouguenheim Malbec Mendoza Reserva 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Laroque Chardonnay Cite de Carcassonne 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Fontanelles Pinot Noir Vin de Pays d'Oc Rouge 2022 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | <1% |
| Pacific Rim Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Prophecy Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Brut California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Toasted Head Chardonnay Barrel Aged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 8% premium | 1% |
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