Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Chapoutier Belleruche Cotes du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Recanati Yasmin White Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Vins Breban Winter en Provence Coteaux Varios en Provence 2021 red · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avia Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Black Cottage Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castelli del Grevepesa Clemente VII Chianti Classico Riserva 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bourdieu Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Lafage Miraflors Rose IGP Cotes Catalanes 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Gai'a Notios White Blend Peloponnese 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hungry Run Cellars Red Raspberry red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Iron and Sand Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jaume Serra Cristalino Serra Cava Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Jean Francois Protheau Hautes Cotes de Beaune Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Ruchette Doree Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Menage a Trois Exotic White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Natura Organic Cabernet Sauvignon and Chardonnay 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ponzi Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Ulisse Amaranta di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $10.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Terra d'Oro Chenin Blanc Viognier Clarksburg 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vietti Roero Arneis 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale White Sparkling Wine sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Be Human Merlot Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blalock and Moore Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boundary Breaks 239 Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2019 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Centerstone Unoaked Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firesteed Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jasci Montepulciano d'Abruzzo Organico 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lapostolle Apalta Red Rapel Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Westmount Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| EthicDrinks Biodiversite Syrah IGP Pays d'Oc 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Knotty Vines Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.83 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 17.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Muirwood Vaquero Block Cabernet Sauvignon Arroyo Secco Monterey 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pike Road Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Westmount Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Rich and Buttery Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Frey Biodynamic Chardonnay Mendocino 2023 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greg Norman Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Intrinsic Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jose de Sousa Red Blend Alentejo 2017 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leelanau Cellars Cold Duck Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Middle Sister Drama Queen Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mirabello Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Painted Wolf The Den Chenin Blanc Swartland 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta Etna Bianco 2018 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra D'Oro Zinfandel Amador County 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zilzie Chardonnay Victoria 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Affentaler Pinot Noir Baden 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
4,801–4,850 of 6,416← PreviousNext →