Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wines of Illyria Stone Cuvee Herzegovina 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bolla Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Butternut Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | ▼ 5.6% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chai de Bordes Bordeaux Blanc 2025 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Columbia Crest Grand Estates Chardonnay Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cooper and Thief Bourbon Barrel Red Blend with Two Rocks Glasses Gift Set red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Petit Chablis 2025 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Mas Cremat Tamarius Organic Cotes Catalanes Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ellena Giuseppe Barolo Ascheri 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hall Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Henri Bourgeois Petit Bourgeois Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kila Cava Brut 2020 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LAGO Cerqueira Vinho Verde Blanc 2021 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Chardonnay 2024 white · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mercer Subsoil Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 51 Riesling Australia 2023 white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella Moscato Sangria white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Rocky Pond Eleven Dams Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roubertas Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sutter Home Fruit Infusions Wild Berry Blush rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta le Colonne Plenum Costa Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three Finger Jack Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Txakoli Primo Blanco Zarautz 2022 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bersano Generala Barbera Nizza Riserva 2017 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Buck Shack Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged Lake County 2020 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casa Canevel Prosecco Rose 2019 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $90.53 $303 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Thieuley Generation III Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2013 dessert · 500 ml | $32.39 $53.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Cassagnoles Reserve Selection Cuvee Gros Manseng Cotes de Gascogne 2021 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gd Vajra Dolcetto D'Alba 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Markou Retsina Athens Greece White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Simply Cabernet Sauvignon Washington State 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spellbound Petite Sirah red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Bing Cherry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Tomasello Winery Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Txakoli Primo Blanco Zarautz 2023 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weingut Heid PUR Trollinger mit Lemberger Wurttemberg 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amber Natural Organic Wine White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
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