Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutter Home Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Airfield Estates Merlot Yakima Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Badenhorst Secateurs Chenin Blanc Swartland 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bolla Sangiovese red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bota Box Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | 7% premium | 2% |
| Domaine de la Croix des Vainqueurs Vouvray Brut Nonvintag sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Elk Cove Estate Riesling Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Mendel Cabernet Sauvignon Lujan de Cuyo Mendoza Estate 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Folonari Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▼ 4.0% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | ▲ 35.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Jam Jar Sweet Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Mionetto Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 13.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Planeta Etna Rosso 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats Chenin Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Soaked Caramel Apple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Terra D'Oro Chenin Blanc Viognier Clarksburg 2023 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Toi Toi Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wapisa Malbec Patagonia 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Butcher's Daughter Chardonnay Pay's D'Oc 2022 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Chardonnay Butterkissed white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| DaVinci Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 13.3% | 7% premium | 3% |
| Hentley Farm Riesling Eden Valley 2021 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meiomi Rose California 2021 rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Buttery Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 35.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Quinta da Calcada Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ampelaia Unlitro Costa Toscana Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 1000 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bread and Butter Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Blanc Sec de Sudiraut Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.03 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Creamery Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Elizabeth Rose Pinot Noir Napa Valley 2023 rosé · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Whatever Valencia Crianza 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plungerhead Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.63 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sartori Love Story Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Terra D'Oro Chenin Blanc Viognier Clarksburg 2021 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vale de Lobos Tejo Reserva 2018 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Astrolabe Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Souverain Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Creative Juice Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine Romuald Petit Roche Noire Morgon Beaujolais 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.13 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bianchi Malbec Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fetzer Gewurztraminer Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Franzia Dark Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Headturner Chardonnay Horse Heaven Hills 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hikari Red Plum Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 65 Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 3.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
4,751–4,800 of 6,416← PreviousNext →