Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Organic Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Ruggeri Argeo Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Salomon Undhof Terrassen Riesling Kremstal 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three Brooms Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Water Wheel The Estate Red Blend Bendigo 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Acrobat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Nodus Bobal Rosado Utiel Requena 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golan Heights Winery Gilgal Brut Golan Heights Israel 2022 sparkling · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Portlandia Pinot Noir Oregon 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Chardonnay Monterey County Aged in Bourbon Barrels white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruhlmann Gewurztraminer Vieilles Vignes Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Chardonnay Maule Valley Reserva 2024 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alki Chardonnay Wahluke Slope 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Almaden Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bota Box Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Paillet Quancard Cadillac Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Souverain Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fre White Zinfandel Alcohol Removed rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa des Causses Malbec Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lobetia Organic Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schmitt Sohne Relax Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $15.49 Sale | ▲ 3.3% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Travaglini Nebbiolo Coste delle Sesia 2019 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aresca San Luigi Nizza 2021 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argiolas Costera Cannonau di Sardegna 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Baron de Ley Tempranillo Reserva Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Blackwater Lazy Lucy Rose Grenache Swartland 2023 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Citruskissed Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Dunham Three Legged Red Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Morette Bardolino Chiaretto Classico Rosato 2020 rosé · Veneto · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Muga el Anden de la Estacion Crianza 2022 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pfaffl Vom Haus Rose Niederosterreich 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Black Pearl Cabernet Sauvignon Coastal Region 2021 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego Infinito Monastrell Jumilla 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Bojador White Alentejo 2021 white · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Casas del Bosque Pinot Noir Rose Las Dichas Casablanca Valley 2025 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato Reserve 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franciscan Estate Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| H Luxury Collection by Havens Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hogue Cellars Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kakhuri Gvinis Marani Semi Sweet Saperavi Kindzmarauli Pitcher Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kuranui Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Love and Squalor Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sandboy Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saronsberg Provenance Shiraz South Africa 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sella and Mosca La Cala Vermentino di Sardegna 2021 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
4,701–4,750 of 6,416← PreviousNext →