Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Ecole No 41 Merlot Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Metallico Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands Unoaked 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Chollet Cremant de Bourgogne Brut sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antichi Giochi Voulet Malvasia di Casorzo 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Butcher's Daughter Sauvignon Blanc Pays DOc 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | 6% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Haut Maurin Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | ▲ 20.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Citluk Wines of Illyria Plavac Mali Herzegovina 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Tourmaline Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eola Hills Patriot Red Blend Non Vintage red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sandy Cove Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saracina Unoaked Chardonnay Mendocino County 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Federalist Hamilton Chardonnay Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $15.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa Sparina Gavi del Comune di Gavi 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| City Limits Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cole Cellars Sauvignon Blanc California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Frenzy Mount Richmond Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Istine Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moon Tree Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Shade Mountain Vineyards Anniversary White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sun Soaked Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $5.19 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three Brooms Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Almaden Cabernet Sauvignon red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Anthony Road Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2022 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Browne Bitner Estate Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Thieuley Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Malbec red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Gildas Cormerais Muscadet Sevre et Maine sur Lie 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Vieil Orme Touraine Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firefly Ridge Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Sofia Brut Rose Monterey County sparkling · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frenzy Mount Richmond Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden California Chardonnay 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | <1% |
| Painted Fox Winery Cabernet Franc York County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Paul Dolan Vineyards Zinfandel Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Chardonnay Galilee 2022 white · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot On Tap Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Black Box Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.99 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Calcada Vinho Verde Blanc 2021 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casal Garcia Rose Vinho Verde rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chateau Laclaverie Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Moncontour Methode Traditionelle Cremant de Loire Brut sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Gelida Blanc de Blancs Brut Natural Gran Reserva Cava 2019 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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