Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenz Moser Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2021 white · 1000 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Noir Wines New Noir Orange Wine Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Limited Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| OZV Old Vine Zinfandel Estate Grown Lodi 2020 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierrick Harang Le Petit Balthazar Vin Rouge Languedoc red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Qupe Chardonnay Y Block Santa Barbara County 2019 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Ema El Cruce Select Terroir Sauvignon Blanc Maipo Valley white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Schlink Haus Riesling Nahe Kabinett 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Crusher Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tomasello Winery Tangerine Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Trumpeter Chardonnay Mendoza 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| XXL Sparkling Moscato Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 1000 Stories Bourbon Barrel Aged Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Clos des Lunes Lune d'Argent Bordeaux Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Sauvignon Blanc white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| MAN Family Wines Ou Kalant Cabernet Sauvignon Coastal Region 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Caceres Reserva Rioja 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martini and Rossi Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Mitravelas White on Grey Dry White 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta de Gomariz Vinho Verde Loureiro 2023 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Merlot Yakima Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Arrumaco Garnacha Vino de Espana Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barone Fini Pinot Grigio Trentino white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bibbiano Chianti Classico Bibbiano 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Deep and Dark Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 6% premium | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bodega Colome Malbec Calchaqui Valley Salta Estate 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boomtown by Dusted Valley Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chaddsford Winery White Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine de Fondreche Ventoux Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark West Pinot Noir 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mitravelas Red on Black Peloponnese 2023 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pendulum Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rieslingfreak No 33 Riesling Clare Valley 2023 white · South Australia · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sindicat La Figuera Grenache 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arado Malbec Uco Valley Reserva red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot on Tap Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cole Cellars Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Chardonnay Colchagua 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fish Eye Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Rickshaw Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sierra Del Mar Chardonnay Clarksburg 2023 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three Brooms Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bargetto Merlot Central Coast 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Briganti Pinot Grigio d'Abruzzo 2026 white · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cuvee Clemence Entre Deux Mers Bordeaux Blanc 2024 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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