Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cote Mas Pays d'Oc Red red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Quinta do Popa Contos da Terra Douro Tinto 2019 red · Douro · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zenato Ripassa Valpolicella Superiore Ripasso 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Klinker Brick Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2020 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | <1% |
| Santa Ema Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tendril Cellars Childs Play Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Handley Cellars Pinot Noir RSM Vineyard Anderson Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| PlumpJack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $115 $192 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenshen Red Blend Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 29% premium | 1% |
| True Myth Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29% premium | 1% |
| Taquilino Treixadura Ribeiro 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Titan Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Gabriele Sangiovese Lazio red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Domaine de Montcy Ligere Cheverny 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine le Prieure des Papes Organic Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Quattro Theory Merlot Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Serego Alighieri Vaio Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2013 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 10,000 Hours Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Muriel Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Zinfandel Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gaintus Radical Sumoll 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Cabernet Sauvignon Whiskey Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.13 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Colome Estate Malbec Calchaqui Valley Salta 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Double Diamond Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gavalas Assyrtico Santorini 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia El Cabrito Natural Cabernet Sauvignon Maipu 2024 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Volver Single Vineyard Tempranillo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot Three Palms Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $65.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Pinot Noir Marlborough red · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | 29% premium | 1% |
| Viile Budureasca SRL Budureasca Orange Wine 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.93 $117 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Vireton Pinot Noir By Archery Summit Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Bookwalter Conflict Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Caceres Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Les Trois Roches Moulin a Vent 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | 1% |
| Renwood Estate Zinfandel Renwood Ranch Amador County 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Chandon de Briailles Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru Ile de Vergelesses 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Chapelle Chambertin Gevrey Chambertin Grand Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Lindquist Syrah Central Coast 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luke Merlot Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra d'Aligi Tatone Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Rene Leclerc Gevrey Chambertin Combes Aux Moines 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $52.03 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Scacciadiavoli Montefalco Rosso 2019 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.73 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Alzatura Montefalco Sagrantino 2015 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Charles Joguet Cuvee Terroir Chinon 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $500 $900 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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