Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estacion Yumbel Pipeno Pais Bio Bio Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fish Eye Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Dry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +3% if it rises |
| Frederic Esmonin Les Genevrieres Pinot Noir Bourgogne Rouge 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Koyle Cuvee Los Lingues Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Andres 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot White Burgundy white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz South Australia 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Northwest Ridge Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Beaujolais Nouveau Primeur Griottes 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quivira Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spellbound Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three French Hens Pays d'Oc Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Top Box Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| All Time Low Presents Suckerpunch Sauvignon Blanc Willamette Valley 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bailly Lapierre Pinot Noir Cremant de Bourgogne sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Buttonwood Grove Winery Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Rose of Pinot Noir Monterey County 2024 rosé · Monterey · 750 ml | $7.99 $9.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Culitos Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Mas Cremat Les Sales Gosses Mourvedre Vin Sans Sulfites Cotes Catalanes Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Shimmer Sauvignon Blanc and Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $32.53 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Organic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $23.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tres Buhis Nocturna Red Yelca red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners Grenache Blanc Yakima Valley 2025 white · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Antinori Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▼ 4.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Villa Montignana Chianti Classico Riserva 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Weis Vineyards Gruner Veltliner 2023 white · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Leonardini Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Fresh Twist Peach and Mango White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.97 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Agramont Gran Reserva Navarra 2015 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alvaredos Hobbs Godello Ribeira Sacra 2019 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Red Winemaker's Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bonterra Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bonterra The Butler Butler Ranch Vineyard Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| California Roots Pinot Grigio white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +11% if it rises |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Luxe Brut Columbia Valley sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chehalem INOX Unoaked Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l'Enchantoir Le Pied a l'Etrier Saumur Puy Notre Dame 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dumol Wester Reach Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $42.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ethic Drinks Peau a Peau Vin Orange Vin de France 2024 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Freakshow Chardonnay Lodi 2021 white · Lodi · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marziano Abbona Dogliani San Luigi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mirassou Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Simple Life Pinot Noir 2019 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
4,551–4,600 of 9,968← PreviousNext →