Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines
WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Pagliarese Chianti Classico Riserva 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pago del Vicario Blanco de Tempranillo 2023
white · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Pagos del Rey Condado de Oriza Ribera del Duero Gran Reserva 2014
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pagos del Rey Condado de Oriza Ribera del Duero Reserva 2018
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—44% below<1%
Painted Fox Winery Cabernet Franc York County
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99——Fairly priced9%
typically +6% if it rises
Painted Fox Winery Chardonnay York County
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99——Fairly priced10%
typically +7% if it rises
Painted Fox Winery Modern Blush York County
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99——Fairly priced11%
typically +7% if it rises
Painted Fox Winery Renaissance Red York County
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99——Fairly priced10%
typically +6% if it rises
Painted Wolf The Den Chenin Blanc Swartland 2021
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Painted Wolf The Den Chenin Blanc Swartland 2023
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$8.39 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Painted Wolf The Den Pinotage Coastal Region 2021
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$8.33 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paitin Barbera d'Alba Serra 2022
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$13.19 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pala S'Arai Isola dei Nuraghi 2021
red · 750 ml
$24.99——Fairly priced<1%
Palacio de Otono Reserva Rioja 2021
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Palacio del Burgo Rioja Tinto 2018
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$3.53 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pali Wine Co Huntington Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County 2019
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$6.93 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paltrinieri Pira Lambrusco di Sorbara 2023
sparkling · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pam's Chardonnay Unoaked 2021
white · 750 ml
$8.53 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Paniza Garnacha from Slate Carinena 2018
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—28% below<1%
Pannonhalmi Foapstag Tricollis Rose Hungary 2020
rosé · 750 ml
$9.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paolo e Noemia d'Amico Seiano Lazio Rosso 2021
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—48% below<1%
Paperwhite by J Lohr Unoaked Chardonnay 2023
white · 750 ml
$12.99 $13.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Papi Cabernet Sauvignon Demi Sec Central Valley 2023
red · 750 ml
$6.99——37% below2%
Papi Prosecco Rose
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.99 0.0%—80% premium9%
typically +6% if it rises
Papi Sauvignon Blanc Chile
white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $9.99 Sale▲ 6.4%—Fairly priced11%
typically +7% if it rises
Papi Sweet Red Demi Sec Central Valley
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.99——33% below10%
typically +13% if it rises
Paquet Montagnac Chardonnay Vin de France
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +8% if it rises
Paquet Montagnac Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Paradis le Domaine Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pares Balta Pink Brut Cava de Garda
sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced4%
Pareto's Estate Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi 2019
red · Lodi · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paringa Sparkling Shiraz South Australia 2020
sparkling · South Australia · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—21% premium<1%
Parini Prosecco Brut
sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.09 0.0%—14% below6%
typically +5% if it rises
Parini Prosecco Brut
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Parini Prosecco Rose Brut
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.39 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +9% if it rises
Parker Estate Cool Climate Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2021
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—37% below1%
Parker Estate Terra Rossa Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2021
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pasaeli 6N Karasakiz Aegean Turkey Red 2023
red · 750 ml
$20.99——Fairly priced<1%
Pasaeli Calkarasi Aegean Turkey Rose 2024
rosé · 750 ml
$13.99 $16.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Pasaeli K2 Blend AegeanTurkey Red 2022
red · 750 ml
$23.99——68% premium<1%
Pascal Jolivet Attitude Sauvignon Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Patria Chica Vino De Pago Ayles 2020
red · 750 ml
$5.13 $17.39 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Patrick Bottex La Cueille Rose Cerdon Bugey Method Ancestrale
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 0.0%—Fairly priced10%
typically +4% if it rises
Paua Rock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough
white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.89 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Paul Autard Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Paul Cheneau Brut Cava Penedes
sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 0.0% 0.0%13% below7%
typically +19% if it rises
Paul Cheneau Brut Rose Cava Penedes
sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Paul Cheneau Lady of Spain Brut Cava Penedes
sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.03 $13.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Paul Chollet Cremant de Bourgogne Brut
sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +5% if it rises
Paul Chollet Oeil de Perdrix Cremant de Bourgogne
sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.53 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
4,551–4,600 of 6,416← PreviousNext →