Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Bartolucci Vineyard St. Helena Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2022 red · 750 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Bolgheri Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cristom Mt. Jefferson Cuvee Pinot Noir Eola-Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Petit Estate Pinot Noir McMinnville 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roaming Dog Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Vigna Loreto Barbaresco Ovello 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $64.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Girard Artistry Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Meursault 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Montes Purple Angel Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $73.79 $123 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% premium | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Finca Bella Vista Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine La Berangeraie Les Traverset Cahors 2023 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 3SAPAS Malbec Mendoza Reserva 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Nico Grand Pere Pinot Noir Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats Gatsby Mourvedre Piekenierskloof 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Chillable Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | 27% premium | 4% |
| Oyster Bay Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 10000 Hours Red Mountain Red Blend 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Balletto Vineyards Zinfandel Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Geantet Pansiot Gevrey Chambertin 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $94.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Neal Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flavia Etna Rosso 2018 red · Sicily · 1000 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Unshackled Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▼ 14.8% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Baron Philippe de Rothchild Escudo Rojo Syrah Maipo Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.23 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bernard Fouquet Domaine des Aubuisieres Cuvee de Silex Vouvray 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Tre Leoni Red Blend Napa Valley 2024 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Sin Zin Zinfandel Alexander Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 1500 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jacob's Creek Shiraz Reserve red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Budureasca Orange Wine Romania 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Buehler Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 28% premium | 1% |
| Cluster F Grenache Yakima Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Folonari Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.83 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | 28% premium | 1% |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge with Glass Pitcher Gift Set red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Marc Morey and Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $127 | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | <1% |
| Gorman Winery The Devil You Dont Know Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Librandi Ciro Duca San Felice Riserva 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lungarotti Pometo Sangiovese Umbria 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mt Beautiful Pinot Noir North Canterbury 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Tignanello Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Salvard Cheverny 2024 red · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Alexander Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pagodes de Cos Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $82.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Roscato Rosso Dolce Gold red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Be Human Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | 1% |
| Carl Reh Sweet Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 35.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
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