Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Bilbao Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Roederer Estate Brut Anderson Valley sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $35.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 33.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Wilhelm Walch Prendo Pinot Grigio Vignetti delle Dolomiti white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Duckhorn Vineyard Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,000 | ▲ 11.1% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Riesling white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sandeman Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 41.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Seven Daughters Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Antler Ridge Winery Diamond White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | ▲ 8.2% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Game Box Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Game Box Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| LifeVine Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Masciarelli Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 13.1% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres Reserva Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Trivento Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Moscato Blackberry white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Moscato Blueberry white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Moscato Mango white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Strawberry and Grapes Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Layer Cake Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 56% below | 9% typically +13% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Party Pouch Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Shabo PrimoSecco Semi Sweet Charmat Sparkling Ukraine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Angelo Negro Unfiltered Bianco Italia white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Turtle Rock Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Janare Benevento Aglianico Campania red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Tenuta Regaleali Nero d'Avola red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Feuerheerd's Twenty Year Tawny Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Dry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +3% if it rises |
| Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Sweet dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +3% if it rises |
| Peju Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Famiglia Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Franzia Rich and Buttery Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Papi Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Pouilly Fuisse white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| De Chanceny Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| De Chanceny Rose Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Painted Fox Winery Cabernet Franc York County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| University Wine Company Lion's Roar Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars St Croix Semi Dry Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Paquet Montagnac Chardonnay Vin de France white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ruffino Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ruffino Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
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