Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Jadot Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beau Vigne Romeo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Reserve de Malartic Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matthews Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Estate Okfener Bockstein Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| PlumpJack Estate Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Shiraz California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Aveta Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Two Hands Sexy Beast Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2020 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Anderson Valley Two Creeks Vineyards 2020 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Pascal et Fils Puligny Montrachet 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Epiphany GSM Thompson Vineyard Santa Barbara County 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Calera Mt Harlan Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casanova di Neri Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacoby Graacher Domprobst Spatburgunder Mosel 2018 red · Mosel · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkastler Badstube Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Artesa Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rozes Vintage Porto 2017 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seguinot Bordet Chablis 1er Cru Fourchaume 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 375 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Pouilly Fuisse white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| WALT Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barolo Bergera 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.4% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hermann J Wiemer Magdalena Vineyard Cabernet Franc Finger Lakes 2022 red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jacques Bardelot Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.03 $41.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Recanati David's Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Upper Galilee Reserve 2019 red · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Bastide Saint Dominique Chateauneuf du Pape 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Pirouette Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Sunnyview Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles Willow Creek District 2022 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $41.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carpineto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inglenook Vineyard Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Croix Ducru Beaucaillou St Julien 2021 red · 750 ml | $19.93 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Concreto Malbec Paraje Altamira 2019 red · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Champagne Philippe Gonet Ter Noir Extra Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Warres Quinta da Cavadinha 2006 red · 750 ml | $34.79 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello Romitorio Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Chardonnay Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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