Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HER Shiraz Western Cape South Africa red · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Penfolds Club Tawny Port Australia dessert · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Cote Mas Pays d'Oc Red red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cune Crianza Rioja Alta Tinto red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Dr L Sparkling Riesling NonVintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lolea Red Sangria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Ogier Artesis Cotes du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Cream Sherry dessert · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Taylor Marsala dessert · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Taylor Tawny Port dessert · Douro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | 44% below | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Santa Carolina Anniversary 150 Years Red Blend Chile red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Briganti Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 9% premium | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Franzia Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | 23% below | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Marc Plouzeau Perle Sauvage Petillant Naturel Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Paul Chollet Cremant de Bourgogne Brut sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stella Rosa Sparkling Cranberry sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 5.9% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Opici Vineyards Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Opici Vineyards Marsala dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Wellsley Farms Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Aravail Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Black Box Deep and Dark Cabernet red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Liquid Light Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Verdi Spumante sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.69 $17.69 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Il Casato Pinot Grigio Rose Delle Venezie rosé · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Chill Chillable Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Banfi Centine Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Ho Ho Ho Cabernet Sauvignon Screen Printed Bottle red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | 42% below | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Santa Gabriela Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +13% if it rises |
| Limited Lot Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | 34% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Double Play Rose Pennsylvania rosé · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Piccini Chianti Orange Label red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Volver Paso a Paso MWOG Tempranillo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moillard Grivot Petit Chablis white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ramon Bilbao Early Harvest Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Beringer Bros Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 4% premium | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Meiomi Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Monnalisa Sangiovese di Romagna Superiore red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bottega Fragolino Rosso Italy red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Aveleda Fonte Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Dark Seneca Lake red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Bianco Emilia Romagna white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sao Goncalo Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Stony Run Winery Gruner Veltliner white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
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