Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barefoot Merlot 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot On Tap Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot On Tap Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot On Tap Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot On Tap Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot On Tap Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot On Tap Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Red Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Red Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Rich Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Riesling 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Rose 2x1.5 L Multipack rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 4% |
| Barefoot Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | 3% premium | 5% |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Moscato white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Pink Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.13 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot on Tap Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot on Tap Riesling white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bargemone Blanc Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 white · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Blanc 2023 white · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargetto Merlot Central Coast 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargetto Pinot Grigio Monterey County 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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