Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sileni Nano Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.99 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Havens Chardonnay Santa Barbara County 2023 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Carrieres de Mezy Sancerre Cuvee de la Reserve 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $20.79 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terrazze dell' Etna Ciuri Nerello Mascalese Sicilia Bianco 2017 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weihnacht's Wein Riesling Spatlese Rheinhessen white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Giesen Vineyard Selection Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frost Bitten Ice Riesling Horse Heaven Hills 2021 white · Washington · 375 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paperwhite by J Lohr Unoaked Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vigneti Romio Pinot Grigio Rubicone white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barnard Griffin Riesling Columbia Valley 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cline Family Cellars Viognier North Coast 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Forge Cellars Freese Vineyard Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giesen Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giesen Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Vieille Ferme Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chatel Buis Chardonnay Macon Villages 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Goat White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Beauchene Vignobles Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Meu Albarino Ribeiro 2022 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Pearl Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Blanc 2021 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calvet Sauvignon Blanc Touraine Loire Valley white · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +8% if it rises |
| Cornerstone Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Farina Vineyard Sonoma Mountain Sonoma County 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hogue Cellars Riesling Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta le Colonne Vermentino Costa Toscana 2023 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Chardonnay 2018 white · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| King of Stones Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frey Organic Natural White Mendocino County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Raymond Reserve Selection Chardonnay Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartford Court Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate White Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Green Quartz Sauvignon Blanc Casablanca Valley 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chocovine Coconut and White Chocolate white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Sur de los Andes Chardonnay Uco Valley 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Airfield Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2024 white · Washington · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Le Cadeau Blanc de Noir Willamette Valley 2017 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $36.99 $39.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 39% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bravium Chardonnay Anderson Valley 2022 white · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Rosella's Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2016 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Spatlese 2018 white · 750 ml | $8.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Michael Stephen Kavic Winery Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Whale Route Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Grand Reserve white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Biecher et Fils Riesling Rosacker Alsace Grand Cru 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meu Albarino Ribeiro 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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