Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luc Belaire Gold Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.73 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruffino Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| XXL Sparkling Moscato Spain sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Taittinger Brut Champagne Millesime 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Rose Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine d'Orfeuilles Sparkling Rose Touraine Non Vintage sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% premium | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Penedes Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vecchia Modena Lambrusco di Sorbara Brut 2020 sparkling · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Sparkling Infusions Sweet Peach sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bartenura Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ruinart Blanc de Blancs Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cafe de Paris Blanc de Blanc Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.43 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Drappier Rose de Saignee Brut Rose Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| King Estate Willamette Valley Brut Cuvee 2017 sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taittinger Nocturne Sec Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2021 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Sparkling White sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Veuve Clicquot La Grande Dame Champagne Brut 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schramsberg Brut Rose Methode Traditionnelle North Coast 2020 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Champagne Demi Sec Cuvee Sublime sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $41.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Taittinger Comtes de Champagne Grand Cru Blanc de Blancs 2011 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $115 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lunetta Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 28.6% | 20% premium | 3% |
| Gerard Bertrand Cremant de Limoux Brut Rose 2020 sparkling · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Zonin Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.20 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Dom Ruinart Champagne Rose 2007 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Agusti Torello Mata Cava Brut Reserva 2017 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Chandon Brut sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Mionetto Organic Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Paringa Sparkling Shiraz South Australia 2020 sparkling · South Australia · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Portlandia Syrah Sparkling Rose Columbia Valley Non Vintage sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| Great Western Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine de Martinolles Le Berceau Blanquette de Limoux Brut sparkling · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| J Vineyards Cuvee 20 Brut Russian River Valley sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Miraja Le Masche Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lete Vautrain Rose Royal Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cote Mas Cremant de Limoux Rose sparkling · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Monmousseau Cuvee Ciselee Brut Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dr Loosen Sekt Riesling Extra Dry NonVintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Evelyne Brut Reserve Blanc de Blancs California Non Vintage sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Italian Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Korbel Sweet Rose California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Gaston Chiquet Tradition Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $130 | — | — | 24% premium | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Veuve Clicquot Vintage Champagne Brut Rose 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| H Billiot Brut Champagne Grand Cru Millesime 2018 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $94.99 $99.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Malvira Rive Gauche Metodo Charmat Rose Extra Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | 25% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Moet and Chandon Ice Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $71.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Eric Taillet ExclusivT Blanc de Meunier Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 35.7% | 25% premium | 20% typically +5% if it rises |
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