Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Colli Senesi 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Canyon Road Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | 2% |
| Casas del Toqui Barrel Series Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Murrieta's Well Estate Vineyard Small Lot Malbec Livermore Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Joseph Pascal Bourgogne Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Rocca Amornero Rosso Puglia 2023 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 19% below | 1% |
| Bodegas Taron Tempranillo Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 19% below | 4% |
| Natura Organic Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Westmount Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 | ▼ 10.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Domaine de Fabregues Chateau de Vissandre Languedoc 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Black Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17% below | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Sutter Home Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 17% below | 4% |
| Cousino Macul Antiguas Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley Reservas Estate 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Dievole Le Due Arbie Chianti Superiore 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Fish Eye Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17% below | 1% |
| Kanonkop Kadette Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Montetoro Tinta De Toro Toro Joven 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2018 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16% below | <1% |
| Benoit Gautier Argilex Vouvray 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Chateau Talmont Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.53 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Domaine Nico Grand Pere Pinot Noir Soeur et Freres Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Wellsley Farms Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Gallo Livingston Cellars Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | 15% below | 1% |
| Zuccardi Serie A Malbec Valle de Uco 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Carmenere Cachapoal Valley Reserva 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 15% below | 1% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 25.0% | 14% below | 5% |
| Castoro Cellars Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Jean Claude Mas L'Artisan Le Pinot Noir Pays dOc 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| La Terre Cabernet Sauvignon Spain red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.0% | 14% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Borgogno Barbera d?Alba 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 14% below | 1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Pinot Noir red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14% below | 1% |
| Domaine de Fabregues Chateau de Vissandre Languedoc Rouge 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Portlandia Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Cole Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | — | 12% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Fives Reserve Pinotage Robertson 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% below | <1% |
| Sampietrana Tacco Barocco Primitivo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 12% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bolla Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | 11% below | 1% |
| Vinha da Fonte Vinho Tinto Vinho Regional Peninsula de Setubal 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 1% |
| Familia Schroeder Saurus Select Pinot Noir Patagonia 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 1% |
| Bodegas Leza Garcia Valdepalacios Crianza Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | 10% below | 1% |
| Yellow Tail Jammy Red Roo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10% below | 4% |
| Villa des Anges Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Herault 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Nardelli Primitivo Puglia 2023 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 8% below | 1% |
| La Terre Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.0% | 8% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | 8% below | <1% |
| Fish Eye Shiraz red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8% below | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7% below | 4% |
451–500 of 5,705← PreviousNext →