Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Silva Gran Terroir de los Andes Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Culitos Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Lenz Moser Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2023 white · 1000 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Memo Mona Sangiovese Abruzzo 2021 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montechiara Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +22% if it rises |
| Santa Ema Select Terroir Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stemmari Nero d'Avola red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 22.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Almaden Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Beringer Bros Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 4% premium | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Black Box Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | 4% premium | 1% |
| Bodegas Pazo de Villarei Abadia Do Seixo Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Lush Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Castelli del Grevepesa Sasso del Falco Chianti Classico 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castle Rock Zinfandel Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cusumano Nero d'Avola Sicilia red · Sicily · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Cromas Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Gran Res 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Four Vines The Biker Zinfandel 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fre Brut Alcohol Removed sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Ken Forrester Petit Chenin Blanc Stellenbosch 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mt Beautiful North Canterbury Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 4% premium | 4% |
| Zombie Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 19 Crimes Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Alta Vista Estate Atemporal Red Blend Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bartenura Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Perraud Chardonnay Macon-Villages 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe Rose Peloponnese 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grain de Lune Sauvignon Gris Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Cream Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Jean Claude Mas Chateau de Conas Le Moulin Malbec Reserve 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Crema Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 9.1% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Posta Pizzella Malbec Uco Valley Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Fontanelles Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2019 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Matchbook Old Head Chardonnay Dunnigan Hills 2021 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Menage a Trois Midnight Dark Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Novelty Hill Columbia Valley Merlot 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella White Zinfandel rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Spy Valley Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spy Valley Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Storypoint Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Turk Riesling Kremser Weinberge 2022 white · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Arado Malbec Salta red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bargemone Blanc Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 white · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Riesling white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Borsao Berola Red Campo de Borja 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Burgans Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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