Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weingut Heid Lemberger Gutswein Wurttember 2018 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weis Vineyards Semi Dry Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wilhelm Walch Pinot Grigio Prendo Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2021 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brooks Winery Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2024 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $28.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casa Silva Carmenere Los Lingues Colchagua Estate 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cusumano Alta Mora Etna Bianco 2022 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damien Martin Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sauvignon Blanc Coteaux du Giennois 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firefly Ridge Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Franzia Burgundy red · Burgundy · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Gelida Pinot Noir Rose Cava Brut Reserva 2020 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ita Merlot Walla Walla Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Crema Pinot Gris Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Le Lion de La Fleur de Bouard Lalande de Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Ville de Causses Malbec Vin de France 2020 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moillard Grivot Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Periodic Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Radio Boka Tempranillo de la Tierre Castilla red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Chardonnay Private Selection Buttery white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +3% if it rises |
| Seigneur d'Aiguilhe Cotes de Castillon 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shabo PrimoSecco Semi Sweet Charmat Sparkling Ukraine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Silver Trail Chardonnay Lodi 2023 white · Lodi · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Substance Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| The Little Sheep of France Vin de France Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Vint by Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Warwick Three Cape Ladies Red Blend Stellenbosch 2017 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| le Fat Bastard Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Angels and Cowboys Proprietary Red Sonoma 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argiolas Costamolino Vermentino di Sardignia 2019 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Box Zinfandel red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Clos Cuirouilh Jurancon Sec 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cora Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2021 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decoy Red Wine Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | ▼ 8.4% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine Bousquet Organic Virgen Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gruet Winery Brut New Mexico sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 29.4% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Maison l'Envoye Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Maurice Schoech Pinot Blanc Cotes d'Ammerschwihr Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neleman Derrick Tempranillo Rose Valencia 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Radio Boka Rose de la Tierre Castilla rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Roscato Blanco Dolce white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Santa Julia Organic Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| The Dreaming Tree Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Truchard Merlot Carneros Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 1 Plus 1 Equals 3 Cygnus Cava Brut Nature Reserva sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bieler Pere et Fils Cuvee Sabine Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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