Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kermit Lynch Vin de Pays de Vaucluse Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Illuminate Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lyngrove Collection Shiraz Rose Stellenbosch 2025 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| Meiomi Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Paul Chollet Oeil de Perdrix Cremant de Bourgogne sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rapido Sangiovese Puglia 2020 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Yasmin Red Galilee 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roscato Rose Dolce Italia rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Simi Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Path Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Treveri Cellars Columbia Valley Rose Sec rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bodegas David Moreno Rioja Crianza 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Bitner Estate Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Discovery Collection Rose Paso Robles 2021 rosé · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe White Peloponnese 2023 white · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hand on Heart Alcohol Removed Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ixsir Altitude Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Alpha Malbec Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Anima Raphael Rosato Sicily 2020 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $7.13 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Redwood Highway Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Routestock Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats South Africa Viognier 2022 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| The Path Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Washington Hills Riesling 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes The Uprising Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barnard Griffin Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cavit Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cellier des Chartreux Chevalier d'Anthelme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damien Martin Bourgogne Blanc white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe White Peloponnese 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Erbeldinger Weissburgunder Rheinhessen 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EthicDrinks Biodiversite Cabernet Franc IGP Pays d'Oc 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fresco di Masi Verona Rosso Biologico red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Glatzer Zweigelt Rose Carnuntum 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Chenin Blanc Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| MAN Family Wines Free Run Steen Chenin Blanc Coastal Region 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| Masciarelli Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 13.1% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Montes Cherub Rose Colchagua Valley 2024 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Twins Colchagua Valley Red Wine red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Yasmin White 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| 1000 Stories Gold Rush Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.47 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beringer Bros Chardonnay Bourbon Barrel Aged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.34 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Big Fire Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calafe Greco di Tufo 2019 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canyon Road Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.44 $10.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casa Canevel Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
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