Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Langhe Nebbiolo 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Old Kakheti Qvevri Saperavi Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $38.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $155 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Benigna's Creek Hessian Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cantina Gabriele Sangiovese Lazio 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Massalarie Premiere Note Carignan Vin de France 2023 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori di Manduria Lirica Primitivo di Manduria red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Monbousquet Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marimar Estate La Masia Don Miguel Vineyard Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $63.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Dupeuble Beaujolais Rouge 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Due Arbie Chianti Superiore 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marchesi di Barolo Maraia Barbera del Monferrato red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vigneti Romio Sangiovese Appassimento Rubicone 2024 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Paul Mas Clos des Mures Languedoc 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lost Poet Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Memo Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Mylonas Savatiano Attika 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pedroncelli Cabernet Sauvignon Three Vineyards Dry Creek Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ricasoli Castello di Brolio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot Monterey County Aged in Rum Barrels red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +3% if it rises |
| Terra Vega Malbec Central Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weingut Wilhelmsberg Bacchus Franken 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cline Cellars Ancient Vines Zinfandel Contra Costa County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Pascal Bonhomme Vire-Clesse 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $55.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| French Flair Le Classique Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Genio Espanol Roble Monastrell Jumilla 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia La Mantis Natural Petnat Maipu 2023 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Zinfandel Alexander Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 7 Deadly Red Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Riunite Blackberry Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wilhelm Walch Pinot Nero Prendo Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2021 red · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cline Eight Spur Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Formiga de Vellut Priorat 2020 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Vigna Nuove Roero Nebbiolo 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| DiamAndes de Uco Malbec Uco Valley 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luna Di Luna Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mouton Cadet x Pierre Rouge Bordeaux red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Vatan Triton Tempranillo Toro 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Krug Family Reserve Generations Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conundrum Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22% premium | 4% |
| DFJ Vinhos Portada Lisboa Tinto red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 22% premium | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
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