Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Rosso Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greg Norman Estates Pinot Noir Santa Barbara 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martini and Rossi Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Nicolas Idiart Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peju Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley Legacy Collection white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Santo Wines Assyrtiko Santorini 2023 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Dreaming Tree Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| 1 Plus 1 Equals 3 Brut Rose Cava Seleccio sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Capvespre Sunset White Catalunya white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vigneto Cialdini Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro 2023 sparkling · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2024 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $28.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Filliatreau Chateau Fouquet Saumur Rouge 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▼ 18.8% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Emiliana Amaluna Organic Sparkling Brut Casablanca Valley sparkling · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Eola Hills Winery Classic Pinot Noir Oregon 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Sauvignon Blanc white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 31% typically +4% if it rises |
| Gilgal Syrah Golan Heights 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inama Vin Soave Soave Classico 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Bouchon Pais Viejo Maule Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne Rose 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $68.99 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Mariposa Dao Branco 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Costa Vermentino Toscana 2022 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Semillon Barossa Valley 2024 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tribute Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Voga Sparkling Rose of Pinot Grigio sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Warre's Vintage Porto 2007 dessert · Douro · 1500 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Liquid Death Severed Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Old Vine Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| California Roots Sauvignon Blanc white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Castoro Cellars Reserve Charbono Whale Rock Vineyard Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| De Perriere Brut Rose France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Charbonniere Tradition Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.99 $72.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Pinot Noir Carmenere red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lavico Etna Bianco 2023 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luc Belaire Rare Rose rosé · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Lydian Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark West Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Penfolds Bin 51 Riesling Eden Valley 2024 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Radio Boka Verdejo de la Tierre Castilla white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel 2019 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| TOP SOURCE Winery Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Ulisse Amaranta Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2018 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Saldo Zinfandel California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Vigilance Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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