Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gd Vajra Clare JC Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Limited Cabernet Sauvignon Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Illusionist Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.43 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diseno Malbec Mendoza Old Vines red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra D'Oro Barbera Amador County 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zaca Mesa Inceptive Estate Vineyard Red Blend Santa Ynez Valley 2017 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alamos Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Costes du Chateau Feret Lambert Bordeaux Superieur 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Love Noir Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| San Roman Prima Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Andrea Oberto Barolo Albarella 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Sierra Cantabria Crianza Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Love My Goat Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▲ 4.8% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domodimonti Picens Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Clare JC Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Armailhac Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Earthquake Zinfandel Lodi 2022 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Emiliana G e Red Blend Colchagua 2017 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Decero Owl and Dust Devil Red Blend Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Genetie Illumine Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Hyland Vineyard Pinot Noir McMinnville 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tall Dark Stranger Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.83 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Virtue Cellars Charisma Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casas del Toqui Gran Toqui Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.73 $179 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.83 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Bouchard Pere et Fils Nuits Saint Georges Les Cailles 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $152 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Imaz Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Clare JC Langhe Nebbiolo 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vinha da Fonte Touriga Nacional Vinho Regional Peninsula de Setubal 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonniere Hautes Brusquieres Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Merlot Estate Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Blaignan Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gorman Winery Old Scratch Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Federalist Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Water Wheel the Estate Red Blend Bendigo 2021 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Chamilly Montagny Les Bassets 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du val Hirondelle Vineyard Three Graces Stags Leap District 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.93 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Pinot Noir Medici Vineyard Chehalem Mountain 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lail Vineyards Blueprint Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Melville Estate Syrah Sta. Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $290 $300 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
4,201–4,250 of 5,705← PreviousNext →