Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabre En Provence Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Amontillado Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Korbel Brut Rose California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Milbrandt Family Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pacific Rim Dry Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pagliarese Chianti Classico Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori di Manduria Electric Bee Primitivo red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| V18 Vasca Diciotto Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2020 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Smooth Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Angeline Rose of Pinot Noir rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 1500 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron de Ley Semi Dulce Sauvignon Blanc Rioja 2021 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Borsao Tres Picos Red Campo de Borja 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Botani Old Vines Moscatel 2024 dessert · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bread and Butter Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Castaing Cote de Bourg Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cora Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cora Pinot Grigio Colline Pescaresi 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Louise Vineyard Pinot Gris Eola-Amity Hills 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Huet Le Haut Lieu Vouvray Sec 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Suremain La Bondue Mercurey 1er Cru Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Pinot Grigio Columbard white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Freixenet Cordon Negro Cava Extra Dry sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 23% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mount Fishtail Sue Lie Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Zemmer Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Rutherford Ranch Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.8% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Sauvignon Blanc Wine Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simple Life Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Rkatsiteli Alazany Valley Semi Sweet White Georgia 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WT Vintners Damavian Syrah Les Collines Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017 red · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Campo Viejo Tempranillo Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vigneto Cialdini Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro 2024 sparkling · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cora Pinot Grigio Colline Pescaresi white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Couly Dutheil Chenin Blanc Chinon 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Rioja Blanco 2023 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dusky Goose Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Altane Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Lydian Alto White Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Sancerre Rouge 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portillo Rose Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.54 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Schmitt Sohne Sweet Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | ▲ 3.6% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
4,101–4,150 of 9,968← PreviousNext →