Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutter Home Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ten Sisters Pinot Noir Marlborough 2020 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Noble Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Gran Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Angeline Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot On Tap Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chloe Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de l'Olivette Bandol Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Cotes du Rhone Rose rosé · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Les Fontanelles Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Line 39 Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tinto Rey Estate Bottled Tempranillo Dunnigan Hills 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Ried Obere Kremser Sandgrube Gruner Veltliner Kremstal 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot On Tap Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Brick and Vine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Castaing Cotes de Bourg Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Citluk Wines of Illyria Blatina Herzegovina 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duplin Carolina Scuppernong Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Graham Beck Sparkling Western Cape Brut Rose sparkling · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Johnson Estate Lake Effect Red red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mad Fish Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Western Australia 2019 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massimo Rivetti Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Presto Rose Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.45 $15.71 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 2% premium | 1% |
| Promesses de France Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Rickshaw Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aime Roquesante Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello del Poggio Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Classic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Columbia Winery Merlot Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Elijah by Manischewitz Chardonnay Curico Valley 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kevin White Winery Memoire White Blend Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Rocailles Jacquere Apremont Savoie 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Planeta La Segreta Sicilia Grillo 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raeburn Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 0.4% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Stella Rosa L'Originale Strawberry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▲ 3.1% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Trevisiol Prosecco Valdobbiadene Superiore Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tribute Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 3% premium | 3% |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bargetto Pinot Grigio Monterey County 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cuma Cabernet Sauvignon Argentina red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 40.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
4,101–4,150 of 6,416← PreviousNext →