Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Meadow Ranch Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Etna Rosso Guardoilvento 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Rioja Reserva 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dixie and Bass Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.43 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silk and Spice Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Red Blend Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bota Mini Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Fess Parker The Big Easy Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clay Shannon The Barkley Cabernet Sauvignon Lake County 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Aphillanthes 1921 Rasteau 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trione Flatridge Ranch Zinfandel 2018 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cortonesi La Manella Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Meursault 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lydian GSM Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torre de Ona Finca San Martin Crianza Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Pozzi Nero d'Avola Sicily red · Sicily · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ardosia Red Tejo 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Petrignano Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EYA Organic Monastrell Jumilla 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Foppiano Vineyards Petite Sirah Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marchesi Di Barolo Barolo red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 $54.99 Sale | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sean Minor Pinot Noir California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Contratto Millesimato Pas Dose Metodo Classico 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $105 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron Philippe de Rothchild Escudo Rojo Cabernert Sauvignon Maipo Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Magnolia Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Campo Maccione Morellino di Scansano 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $26.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Grands Bois Cuvee Marc Rasteau 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Winery at Wilcox Clarion River Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Vineyards Anderson Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $50.99 $54.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Greg norman Estates Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boen Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2018 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Francois Merieau Bois Jacou Gamay de Touraine 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Boudots Nuits Saint Georges 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Nissley Spicy Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rebellious Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | 2% |
| Two Hands Bella's Garden Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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